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COVID-19 Delta Variant: Fast and Furious

By Alejandra Pousa, 20/07/21


The European Center for Disease Prevention and Control in its threat assessment brief on the Delta variant has projections that indicate that, since it is more transmissible, by the end of August, 90% of infections in the EU will have been caused by this variant.

Their modeling scenarios also confirm the following:

  • Because of the increase in circulation of Delta, the overall risk of infection is considered to be low for fully vaccinated individuals and high to very high for partially or unvaccinated people.
  • Any relaxation of preventive measures could lead to a fast and significant increase in daily cases in all age groups.
  • Full vaccination of all age groups should be achieved as early as possible to reduce hospitalizations and deaths, thus keeping incidence at manageable levels.
  • Older age groups (+50) and those with underlying co-morbidities are more likely to be hospitalized.
  • Properly identifying and monitoring circulating Covid types is crucial for the early detection of emerging variants.

Source: ECDC

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Tonight's Covid tally shows increased cases of 8780 but deaths remaining steady,  46.  This follows a trend already seen in Israel & the UK where the Delta variant is prevalent.  Authorities aren't telling us that, although Delta is highly infectious, it's not nearly as deadly as earlier variants.  We should still be vigilant, but not cave in to scaremongering..

 

 

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I completely agree with you, Meral. I very conservatively imagine, because I can't even start to estimate, that at least some 40% of the cases here are delta. What personally spooks me is to see how everyone acts as if the pandemic were over, the levels of vaccine hesitancy and the number of tourists and events held indoors with high concentration of public. All these plus the fact that delta seems to yield more cases of people affected by long covid in young populations, make me wonder what August will bring.

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Tonight's Covid tally shows increased cases of 8780 but deaths remaining steady,  46.  This follows a trend already seen in Israel & the UK where the Delta variant is prevalent.  Authorities aren't telling us that, although Delta is highly infectious, it's not nearly as deadly as earlier variants.  We should still be vigilant, but not cave in to scaremongering..

 

 

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